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Projects: Projects for Investigator
Reference Number NIA_NGN_157
Title Analytical Approaches to Asset Management
Status Completed
Energy Categories Fossil Fuels: Oil Gas and Coal(Oil and Gas, Refining, transport and storage of oil and gas) 100%;
Research Types Applied Research and Development 100%
Science and Technology Fields ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY (Mechanical, Aeronautical and Manufacturing Engineering) 100%
UKERC Cross Cutting Characterisation Not Cross-cutting 100%
Principal Investigator Project Contact
No email address given
Northern Gas Networks
Award Type Network Innovation Allowance
Funding Source Ofgem
Start Date 01 February 2016
End Date 01 July 2016
Duration 5 months
Total Grant Value £293,040
Industrial Sectors Technical Consultancy
Region Yorkshire & Humberside
Programme Network Innovation Allowance
 
Investigators Principal Investigator Project Contact , Northern Gas Networks (100.000%)
Web Site http://www.smarternetworks.org/project/NIA_NGN_157
Objectives

The challenges that have been identified are long standing, complex and industry wide. Therefore the first phase of this project will be focused on understanding the ‘art of the possible’ i.e. what would the concept of a solution look like.

The combined NGN / alliance team will have unique insights into the specifics of the challenge (NGN) and the latest thinking in the application of analytics (alliance). At the end of this phase, the combined team will be able to share insight into whether an opportunity exists, and if so, an indication of the size of the prize, route map and risks.

  • The outputs from this phase will capture findings, insights and opportunities from collaborative workshops, interviews and innovation stimulation events. These will be used to generate and refine hypotheses. The most viable hypotheses will undergo further investigation, from which a holistic description will be developed that covers key elements of the operating model. Where appropriate a visual representation of the concept will also be created.
  • The feasibility of these concepts will also be detailed, and will include operating model impacts, risks and a value case (financial and non-financial value).
  • A high level implementation plan will show what key activities are required to further develop and deliver each viable concept
  • Capture findings, insights and opportunities from collaborative workshops, interviews and innovation stimulation events
  • Generate and refine hypotheses and investigate the most viable ones further
  • Where appropriate develop a visual representation of the concept(s)
  • Develop feasibilities of these concepts, including risks and costs.
  • NGN will have learnt new ways of thinking (methods etc.) and working to approach complex challenges
  • NGN will be able to make an informed decision to proceed with developing and implementing new tool(s) and / or process(es) based on a robust business case supporting viable hypotheses
Abstract

The scope of the project is to use the skills, experience, approaches, methodologies and advanced modelling techniques from an alternative high performing area of asset management (KPMG / McLaren) working with NGN to examine the areas of challenge and opportunity outlined in the “Problem” section above for potential benefits. In this project we are investigating approaches from outside of the gas industry to determine whether or not these are not only transferable but will help us address some gas industry challenges. Note that this list may not be exhaustive and will be further refined and defined in the early stages of the project.

Our current approaches do not sufficiently address certain areas of network management requirements, risks and uncertainties, for example: - Uncertainties around point demand forecasts and how these may be addressed Optimisation of asset investment decisions based on asset health is primarily based on subjective rather than data driven insight.

Knowledge mostly resides in the minds of the experienced asset planners, a demographic who are nearing retirement. How could this risk be addressed? Untested failure curves for assets that cannot be allowed to fail. Could the broader impact of variable pressure management in the network on investment decisions be more clearly defined? Are there alternative methods for managing infrequent high-demand scenarios? The methods to be used are developed around themes that underpin high performance in Formula 1.

Insights from simulation: Constrained budgets and limited testing time have made modelling and simulation critical to Formula 1 success. Winning culture: Winning performance is delivered by highly motivated individuals working together towards common goals. Planning to win: Augmented decision support through visualisation and prescriptive analytics. Rigorous execution: Execution against robust plans is critical: everyone knows what is required of them and planning has considered individuals’ capabilities. These elements are all interlinked, however, they are grouped into four themes. These themes are used as lenses to explore hypotheses and concepts. This focused attention enables exploration of "art of the possible" for hypotheses and concepts before pulling them all together to develop an integrated concept, value case and implementation plan. In order to co-ordinate the activities in each of the themes there will be a mission control. Mission control will have accountability for the development of the concept(s). The key role of mission control is to balance delivery risk with ambition.

Note : Project Documents may be available via the ENA Smarter Networks Portal using the Website link above

Publications (none)
Final Report (none)
Added to Database 26/04/18